Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Index Futures Trades on Twitter --- A Web 2.0 Experiment Part II

Published earlier on blog.gillerinvestments.com


This has taken a while, due to teething issues, but my Web 2.0 CTA experiment advances one step further today with a delayed Twitter feed and a real-time Twitter feed. Like the RSS feeds, these Twitter feeds provide a trade blotter for my index futures intraday strategy. There are details on how to subscribe to the real-time feeds on my main company web site.

Thursday, April 16, 2009

IKOS Equity Hedge Fund --- Data Update

Published earlier on blog.gillerinvestments.com


With another month of data for the dynamic trading risk factor available, we can look again at how various funds' and companies' performance compares to this factor. As we do not have a great deal more data, and nothing very dramatic has happened since this analysis was last performed, it is unlikely that the pro articulum parameter estimates will have changed very much, so I won't report the regression analysis in depth.

Continued…

Wednesday, April 8, 2009

Hedge Fund Factor for March, 2009

Published earlier on blog.gillerinvestments.com


I've updated the factor regressions for the Dynamic Trading Risk Premium model, as described earlier. This updates the dynamic trading risk factor data series and also updates the dynamic trading risk factor chart (including the version linked to in earlier posts).


Continued…

Wednesday, April 1, 2009

A Monte-Carlo of I.I.D. Normal Innovations

Published earlier on blog.gillerinvestments.com


When talking about the SPX data, I glibly asserted that the data was evidently not I.I.D. normal. I then proceeded to show how the Generalized Error Distribution can be used to describe the data quite well and to reject the hypothesis that the data is I.I.D. Normal with a reasonable degree of confidence.


Continued…